Financial Modelling for Project Finance, 2nd Edition by Penny Lynch

By Penny Lynch

This workbook presents an in depth description of ways to devise and construct a pre-financial shut undertaking Finance money circulate version. delivering enough thought to offer the context for every modelling subject, it makes a speciality of distinctive functional tools. subject matters lined contain therapy of versatile timing assumptions, inflation, a number of currencies, round calculations, debt and fairness calculations, conceal components and IRRs and using the version to provide replacement base case situations and sensitivity instances. the hot variation contains revisions to equipment and methods and new themes constructed according to marketplace adjustments. encompasses a new part on optimization, masking the speculation and perform of optimising sales and/or investment buildings to satisfy particular constraints comparable to conceal issue and IRR specifications, while concentrating on results resembling lowest conceivable NPV of undertaking sales. The workbook concludes with a chain of routines which paintings throughout the means of construction a version from a suite of illustrative info. Spreadsheets accompany the workbook and feature been re-written to mirror the tools and ideas within the new version, and to incorporate the hot subject matters. the place appropriate the hot version additionally describes procedures for either 2003 and 2007 types of Excel.

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Extra resources for Financial Modelling for Project Finance, 2nd Edition

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This is clear, unambiguous, and often suitable for direct use as a parameter in the formulae using the switch. Text inputs, or even drop-down lists, lose one or both of these benefits. Switches: example 1 Let us take as an example a road project, for which figures are being analysed based on three traffic forecasts, identified as low, medium and high forecasts. Each forecast traffic level gives rise to different values for projected traffic and maintenance costs. Revenue and variable operating costs are calculated by the model based on the projected traffic figures, so will automatically adjust for each case.

3. 4 shows the situation where a monthly summary is required for values included in stacked rows in a semi-annual model. Here, a simple monthly counter across the report sheet timeline can be compared with a stacked monthly counter in the semi-annual sheets, and the required values selected for each column using the SUMIF(…) function. 4 Quarterly summary B 1 Full Scheme Base Case 2 Worklines Sheet 3 All values without labelled units are in millions $a 12 13 14 15 16 17 24 values or Totals E F pretime line Loan Drawings G H half years >>>>>>> Jul 2011 Jan 2012 to Dec '11 to Jun '12 1 2 3 4 5 6 labelled single values or Totals Loan drawdown in 1st month of half year Loan drawdown in 2nd month of half year Loan drawdown in 3rd month of half year Loan drawdown in 4th month of half year Loan drawdown in 5th month of half year Loan drawdown in 6th month of half year 1 Full Scheme Base Case 2 Annual Summary 3 All values without labelled units are in millions $a 4 Monthly counter 18 D labelled single Simple monthly counter in 1st month of half year Simple monthly counter in 2nd month of half year Simple monthly counter in 3rd month of half year Simple monthly counter in 4th month of half year Simple monthly counter in 5th month of half year Simple monthly counter in 6th month of half year 1 Full Scheme Base Case 2 Funding Sheet 3 All values without labelled units are in millions $a 32 33 34 35 36 37 C pretime line half years >>>>>>> Jul 2011 Jan 2012 to Dec '11 to Jun '12 0 0 0 0 0 0 labelled single values or Totals 68,798 7 8 9 10 11 12 0 0 0 20,246 14,244 26,245 I >>> Jul 2012 to Dec '12 13 14 15 16 17 18 >>> Jul 2012 to Dec '12 6,745 18,643 27,662 18,934 42,864 18,085 J J Jan 2013 to Jun '13 Jul 2013 to Dec '13 ……… ……… M 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 ……….

4╇ Control of accuracy With circular Excel code it is not possible to specify different levels of accuracy for specific iterated solutions. Thus iteration must continue until all values are solved to the level of accuracy required for the most sensitive iterated value. 5╇ Ability to check and audit model It is not possible to confidently check a calculation which has no fixed start or end point, for which every value is correct only if the previous value was correct, and the previous value is correct only if 40 7 ╇ Treatment of circular and iterative calculations the next value is correct.

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